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Florida's
Transportation Affordability Problem
By Bob Rackleff,
Leon County Commissioner and
Steering Committee Member, Florida 2025 Transportation
Plan
February 17, 2005
Florida’s near-total reliance on private
vehicles for transportation has created a serious affordability
problem for many residents of this state.
Using data about the Tampa metropolitan
statistical area (MSA) as an indicator for the rest of Florida,
consumer costs for transportation have soared in recent years. In
fact, the Tampa MSA in 2002 had the highest percentage of household
spending on transportation of any of the 28 SMAs surveyed nationwide.
Consider these data from the Consumer
Expenditure Survey, Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) 1997-2002:
- Average household spending on
transportation in the Tampa MSA rose from $6,958 to $8,850 –
an increase of $1,892, or 27 percent, in only five years. The
national average in 2002 was $7,759 spent on transportation.
- Almost half of the increase in
total household consumer spending in Tampa ($4,083) in those five
years went for transportation.
- Tampa households spent the highest
percentage of consumer spending in 2002 on transportation –
23.2 percent – of all 28 MSAs covered by the survey. The
national average in 2002 was 19.1 percent. The lowest MSAs were
Baltimore (13.2 percent), New York (15.3 percent) and Philadelphia
(16.0 percent).
- This was nearly three percentage
points higher than the 20.3 percent spent to own or rent a home
in the Tampa MSA.
Assuming that the rest of Florida
resembles the Tampa MSA, our transportation system produces the
highest percentage burden of consumer spending on private transportation
in the nation.
This is a direct result of our one-size-fits-all
state and local transportation policies that emphasize roads and
private vehicles over all other modes, especially walking and transit,
and development policies that encourage urban sprawl. In turn, it
calls into question the promise that more road building will enhance
economic development and prosperity.
Some consequences of this high consumer
spending for transportation include:
Consumers have less money for home
ownership. The primary tradeoff with higher transportation spending
is less spending on shelter (the cost of buying or renting a home)
– which should concern Florida’s residential real estate
industry.
- Tampa households in 2002 spent
$1,098 more on transportation than on shelter.
- This is in line with the average
Southern household, which spent $1,129 more on transportation
than on shelter. Northeastern households spent $1,762 more on
shelter than on transportation.
- In what may be related, the 2002
value of homes owned by Southern households ($82,912) was 31.9
percent less than the value of homes owned by Northeastern households
($121,815).
The working poor bear a disproportionate
burden. High transportation costs are a special burden on the working
poor, because nearly all of them must drive to work and other activities.
- Southern households earning $15,000
to $19,999 in 2002 paid 28 percent of their income for transportation,
compared to 17.8 percent for Southern households earning $50,000
to $69,999.
These costs prevent many low-income
families from owning a home – especially important to achieve
financial stability.
- Homeowners with under $20,000
in income have a median wealth 81 times higher than renters with
comparable incomes, according to the National Association of Realtors
(NAR).
Florida receives less federal tax
subsidy. Because higher transportation costs decrease consumer dollars
available for home ownership, Florida collectively misses out on
billions of dollars a year in federal income tax deductions for
home mortgage interest.
- For example, the doubling of retail
gasoline prices in six years now costs Florida consumers about
$7.5 billion more annually.
- Spent instead on home mortgage
payments, that $7.5 billion could generate $1.875 billion in increased
tax deductions flowing to Florida taxpayers (with a 25 percent
marginal tax rate) as well as significant deductions for ad valorem
taxes.
Consumer wealth is less. Transportation
spending is an expense that drains a household’s asset wealth.
This drain is likely to grow as high gasoline prices persist and
increase in coming years.
- New private vehicles lose about
60 percent of their original value in their first three years,
and money spent to operate and maintain them is lost forever.
- In contrast, home purchase spending
is an investment in an asset that has appreciated strongly in
recent years, allowing families to build wealth and financial
stability.
- The appreciation in turn leads
to higher consumer spending by homeowners, because of the “wealth
effect.” As the NAR states, “For each dollar increase
in real estate assets, less mortgage debt, consumers spend an
additional eight cents in that year.”
Result: Florida has a more vulnerable,
less productive economy. The more a state produces what it consumes,
the more productive it is. High transportation spending thwarts
that because it includes so little in-state value added –
and reduces spending on shelter, with a high in-state value added.
We are also more vulnerable than most other states to oil price
shocks, as we already witnessed during the two such crises in the
1970s.
In developing the 2025 Florida Transportation
Plan, what should we do?
Understand better the relationship
between our transportation system, the affordability problem and,
ultimately, Florida’s productivity. By giving this problem
the same level of attention as housing affordability, Florida officials
could determine the reasons why private transportation is the largest
single expense for the average household and develop strategies
to lower such expenses.
Improve our understanding of the
economic and equity stakes in affordable transportation. Only by
understanding the real consequences of having the highest-cost transportation
system in the nation can we overcome the tremendous inertia of past
decisions.
- Likewise, by understanding the
long-term benefits of change we can build a constituency whose
interests this serves and overcome our inertia.
Expand transportation choices. Transportation
costs so much because private vehicles continue to be the only real
choice almost all Floridians have to get around and because urban
sprawl continues to increases distances to work, schools and other
activities.
- A combination of new investments
in multimodal transportations and new incentives for more compact,
walkable communities can expand these choices, beginning with
the most urgent projects first.
- As well, an important side benefit
of improve transportation choices would be to improve pedestrian
safety in a state with the nation’s worst rate of pedestrian
fatalities.
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